These are the tricks for short-term stocks

Chapter 8 Opening short-term trading and market-watching skills (2)
1) A stock with a one-line daily limit is the most likely to have a continuous daily limit, but the contradiction lies in: this is often a product that the main force is very optimistic about, and it is difficult for ordinary traders to buy it. When it is the turn of the trader to buy it, it is often the second, It's after the third one-shaped daily limit.But traders must remember that it is better to grab the moment when the inline daily limit is opened for the first time and is about to be closed, or to grab the middle period of the first high opening day after several inline daily limit, than at the opening of the market. Go for the second daily limit or the later daily limit.The reason is that the former two are blocked after the pressure is relieved, which shows that the main force sees further; while the latter continues to be blocked without pressure relief. Phenomenon.If a trader loses more than 25% of his funds in two days, the blow is undoubtedly fatal. To take a 10% risk for a 25% increase,

Not a wise move.

2) The varieties that open higher are relatively easy to buy, but the contradiction lies in: if the main force is really optimistic, it should open with a daily limit instead of a high opening.For the varieties that opened higher, if the daily limit can be sealed before 10:6, there is still hope for a continued rise tomorrow;The reason is very simple. The former is the main force to quickly absorb goods or quickly eat up the sell-offs and then directly seal the daily limit, which prevents a large number of retail investors from following suit and makes it less pressure to pull up the next day; while the latter has entered most retail investors. The main force cannot pull up quickly on the second day, and needs to be cleaned up.Therefore, the daily limit traders who are too late should not chase after it. If they can get in, they don’t know when they can get out.Unless you look at it early, for example, you have already intervened when the increase is 9%, and then individual stocks just happen to be able to rise by the limit.But pay attention to profit-taking before 35:[-] the next day, unless a certain concept is still popular, or the market starts to strengthen on the second day.

3) Among the individual stocks that open more than 5% higher every day, as long as the 7 K-line patterns mentioned above (except 4 and 5) appear, the daily limit is often blocked within 1 to 2 minutes of the opening.This is often the result of the main force's determination to go long, and it is also the result that many super short-term investors are unanimously optimistic about. what the situation means.Snatching people within one minute of the market opening is completely a gambling behavior, because traders are not the main force, and it is not known whether individual stocks will immediately seal the daily limit, and there is no other trend of the day to refer to at that time.However, if the stock that opened 1% higher is in the previous 5 K-line patterns (except 7 and 4), and it is the first time to open higher in the near future, then the possibility of sealing the daily limit within 5 to 2 minutes after the opening of the day is very high.This is because the main force is launching a prepared and planned short-term offensive after fully predicting the market's situation of the day (even if it falls or fluctuates), and the 4000 short-term masters across the country are also paying attention at all times, ready to trade at any time .If the average capital of each short-term master is 100 million yuan, there are 40 billion yuan of ultra-short-term funds just around the corner, and it is not a problem to close 00 stocks with a circulation of 4 million yuan in a very short period of time.

4) As for the non-high-end individual stocks that opened 2% to 5% higher, most of them are the main trial market or the behavior of retail investors to grab orders, and the opportunities that can be seen are often not good opportunities.If you can catch up and buy these stocks at the first time, then there is a 20% probability that the individual stocks will limit up before 10 o'clock, there is a 20% probability that the daily limit will be reached after 10 o'clock, there is a 30% probability that they will consolidate at a high level, and there is a 30% probability that they will be in a high position. % probability will eventually fall.Calculated by doing 0 such transactions, the daily limit before 0 o’clock may have a total of 15% of the second-day sales income, and the daily limit after 10 o’clock may have a total of 5% of the second-day sales income, and the possibility of consolidation at a high level There is a total of -5% of the second day's selling loss, and the final decline may have a total of -15% of the second day's selling loss (that is, a loss of 7% on the day, and a 1% lower opening on the second day.), it can be seen that the comprehensive l0 The profit of this time is almost zero, which requires the trader to stop as soon as possible without mercy, otherwise the total profit will be negative.The statistical results also show that it is difficult for traders to judge which stock will have the fourth probability, especially when they have to make the only choice for nearly 5 varieties within 20 minutes and the opening buy orders flood in like a tide; What's more, there are many varieties that rush up 7% but close at -2% on the same day and open 2% lower on the second day, which increases the actual risk of the fourth probability.Traders can avoid the trap of the main force knocking against each other, but traders cannot rule out the active buying behavior of countless big investors who are as smart as you, but they are not the main force in the market. Once they do not follow the trend, the consequences will be very serious.

5) The statistical results also show that when chasing non-high stocks that opened 2% to 5% higher, there are only two situations where the risk is relatively small.One is that after a sharp drop in a bear market, you can open the market to chase severely oversold rebound stocks. The main characteristics of individual stocks are: severely oversold, low prices, small circulation, shrinking early trading volume, and the main force opened higher.Because the market urgently needs the emergence of "limit-up death squads" at this time to solve the problem of daily restless capital hunger and thirst. Get some low-priced chips before.However, in a weak bear market, a clear downward channel, when the market is expected to fall or the situation is unclear, following the trend will be seriously insufficient. At this time, it is not suitable to open the market to pursue, even if a certain sector starts collectively after the market opens; the other is the same day The moment when there are important and substantive news topics and a certain sector will start at the same time is also a time period with low risk and high profit.In addition, the stocks with low risk are probably only one-shaped daily limit stocks, and the rest are all kinds of high daily limit stocks, most of which are of little value unless traders buy a set in advance.

The 30th move super big households can do a super short Zhuang

If traders want to get rid of the shackles of some probabilities and obtain higher returns, they must become the short-term main force and have sufficient funds to affect the stock price in the short term.So how do traders do short Zhuang?Judging from the time of opening a position, there are three main ways: the first is to spend a week to absorb a small amount of chips at the bottom, which requires the market to give you enough time; the second is to use one day to pull up against the market The action of accumulating funds is suitable for accurately predicting the situation that the market will strengthen on the second day; the third method is to absorb chips by opening the daily limit, which is suitable for sudden market conditions where there is no time to build a position in advance.

Let's take an oversold rebound with no time to build a position in advance as an example.Assuming that there are 1 million shares in circulation for a certain stock, the current price is 5 yuan, and it has fallen by 9%. In the latter two weeks, it fell by 60%, and the turnover rate in two weeks is 30%.If the main force wants to make a quick oversold rebound and judges that the market will strengthen tomorrow, the following operations can be performed:

First, through the action of quickly closing the limit and opening the daily limit in one day, we can obtain 4% of the chips, that is, 600 million shares, and the required funds are about 6000 million yuan; Withdraw the order, open the daily limit twice, throw away 2% of yesterday's chips, and finally seal the daily limit before 5000 o'clock.The turnover rate of the day was roughly 4%, of which retail sales were roughly 11%, almost all of which were locked-up or meager profits in the past; and the main force took on 0% of new chips that day, roughly obtained when the market opened and closed. 6% of the bargaining chips, 3% of the bargaining chips in the two re-suspended times, and a total of 1% of the bargaining chips in the rest of the day.

The stock rose 20% in two days, with a turnover rate of 4%, but it has not yet returned to the platform before the sharp drop.About 10% of the 7% of the buyers in the previous sharp decline were out of the market due to profits; because they have not yet reached the position of unwinding, and because individual stocks have risen sharply and the market has improved, retail investors will mistakenly think that Jiuzhuang has started a Jedi rebound , so the selling volume of the pre-locked stocks in the two days should not be large, roughly 3%; plus 4% of the main selling, this is the origin of the turnover rate of 4% in the two days.These explanations are basically in line with the operating laws of stock prices.

Because the stock was sealed on the limit board by a large order at 10 am on the second day, and the turnover rate of the day was 500%, which created the illusion that the main force was still actively accumulating funds to the market, so as long as the main force used another 5 million yuan Funds open higher on the third day, which is easier to attract follow suit.The main force can ship in batches when the stock price soars to 3%, and the 30X new chips can often be sold within 5 minutes, and the stock price will probably not fall below yesterday's closing level.It is estimated that when the main force is shipped, the turnover rate of the stock is 0%, and the total turnover rate of the day will exceed 500%, and the stock price may continue to fall.As for the 0% chips newly bought by the main force with 3 million yuan, they can be out of the game with a slight loss on the fourth day.

After four days in this way, the whole process of short-term investment is over.The chip profit of the main force on the first day was 1 million yuan, and the chip profit on the second day was 660 million yuan, with a total profit of 2 million yuan, after deducting transaction costs: l. 110 billion yuan × 770% ≈ 15 yuan, and a slight loss of 0 yuan in the 4th H. The main profit in 50 days is roughly 4 million yuan, and the return on investment is roughly 20%.Of course, if the main force continues to pull up when the market becomes stronger, and the operation cycle reaches 4 days, then the income may be higher, which is estimated to reach 700%.

It can be seen that even if the main force is short-term dealers, the weekly rate of return is only 8%, which does not include the risk of not being able to exit smoothly and the risk of being suppressed by the old main force in the early stage.On the contrary, if you look at a certain opportunity within a week and use all your funds to follow the large-cap stocks to make a speculative transaction, the return may not exceed 8%.This is also an important reason why when there is no concept explosion, the number of hot money speculations is less and less, and the cycle is getting shorter and shorter.However, there will also be a phenomenon that the main force makes a profit of more than 0% in five days, but this is often the reason for operating low-priced stocks.Because the room for stock price rise within a week is limited, only by reducing the proportion of funds occupied can the return on investment of funds be increased.

——From this example, traders can see that the trend of many individual stocks has actually been calculated by the main force, and the rest is to see how the main force realizes it with conventional technical methods or unconventional technical methods.Of course, the main force often has more than one set of operating strategies, and there will be 2 to 3 sets of emergency preventive measures to prevent the market from going against its prediction.

Tip 31: How to Quickly Check the Market

As a short-term master, after the opening of the market, you should grasp the key points and quickly browse the main content below the market, so that you can prepare your troops with confidence.

1.Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rose the first board

The so-called first board refers to that in Tongdaxin software, press "61+Enter" to view the Shanghai A-share price increase list, press "63+Enter key" to view the Shenzhen A-share price increase list, or press " 67+Enter key” When looking at the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share price increase list, the individual stock price increase data that ranks on the first board on the computer screen.They are the gathering places of all the strongest stocks in the current market. Short-term speculation is to pursue these extremely strong stocks, because they represent the direction of capital flow and the movement trend with the least risk in the near future.

Judging from the situation during the shocking period of the bear market in 2008, the rise of the stocks on the first board reflects the following rules:
1) On the first board of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, if there are more than 20 stocks with a daily limit, it means that the market is in a super strong state. The background of the market provides good conditions for the performance of individual stocks, and the risk of short-term operations is small.

2) On the first boards of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, if there are more than 0 stocks with a daily limit, it means that the market is in a strong state. The background of the market provides general conditions for the performance of individual stocks, and short-term operations should be cautious.

3) On the first boards of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, if there are no more than 5 stocks with a daily limit, it means that the market is in a weak state. The background of the market does not provide favorable conditions for the performance of individual stocks, and short-term operations should be held on the sidelines.

4) On the first board of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, if there are only 2 to [-] stocks with a daily limit, it means that the market is in an extremely weak state. The background of the market does not provide operating conditions for the performance of individual stocks, and short-term operations should be stopped.

When looking at the above data, traders should know that it is easy for the market to change, and they must be vigilant at all times.

2.market trend direction
The market and individual stocks are interactive, showing a mutual causal relationship.When individual stocks start collectively, the market will generally rise; when the market falls, a group of strong stocks will also fall.Don't just focus on the ups and downs of the market, but ignore the status of the sector and index stocks.Looking at the two together, comparing each other and confirming each other, is the best way to watch the market.

1) The low point of the market trend wave keeps moving up, and the high point also keeps moving up. The yellow and white lines are in a close upward trend, and the increase is more than 3%, which is a super strong state of unilateral rise. Short-term operation can be resolute Expand.

2) The trend wave of the market as a whole shows a continuous upward trend, but the high and low points occasionally overlap, which is a typical upswing market. Short-term operations can be carried out depending on the specific conditions of the target stocks.

3) The trend wave of the broader market fluctuates horizontally around the horizontal line at yesterday's close. The high and low points overlap repeatedly, and the up and down fluctuations do not exceed 1%.

4) The low point of the market trend wave keeps moving down, and the high point also keeps moving down. The yellow and white lines are in a close downward trend, which is a weak pattern, and short-term operations should be stopped.

Note that you should pay attention to the divergence of the yellow and white lines. If their gap is greater than [-] cm, it means that there is a problem compared to the tight synchronization in the past.In the end, there is always one line that converges towards the other.

3.Comparison of the number of rising/falling stocks
The number of rising/falling stocks in individual stocks is the staged result of the struggle between the bulls and the bears. Checking the real-time rising/falling stocks in the market can prevent the market from changing and predict the next trend of the market in advance.

1) When the market is rising, the number of rising companies is greater than the number of falling companies, which means that the market is rising naturally and truly, which means that the market is strong, and short-term operations can be actively carried out.

2) When the market is rising, the number of decliners is greater than the number of risers, indicating that the main force is pulling up the index stocks, which means that the market is falsely strong, and short-term operations should be carried out carefully depending on the target stocks.

3) When the market falls, the number of rising stocks is greater than the number of falling stocks, indicating that there are main forces suppressing the index stocks, which means that the market is falsely weak, and short-term operations should be held on the sidelines, because it is unknown which side the market will eventually stand on.

4) When the market falls, the number of decliners is greater than the number of risers, indicating that the decline in the market is natural and real, which means that the market is weak, and short-term operations should be stopped.

4. 5-minute rise/fall speed ranking

For the 5-minute growth rate ranking, traders can find out which stocks are currently rising strongly, and perhaps it is they that have driven the market to "turn red".But if only the chaotic individual stocks form an upward trend, there is not much value for manipulation. Only when the individual stocks in a certain sector appear at the forefront of the list at the same time, it means that the sector may be launched as a whole .Generally speaking, short-term stocks that can form a real upward trend tend to drive the entire sector to rise simultaneously.

For the 5-minute decline rate ranking, it is just the opposite. It can often explain the reason for the rapid "turning green" of the market, and is a leading indicator for judging the market.

5.The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets fell the first board

This is an indicator used to assist in judging the trend of the broader market.If there are many stocks with lower limit, the market is in a disadvantageous position; if the plate with lower limit belongs to the former mainstream sector, it means that the mainstream hot spots in the past have begun to ebb collectively; Good performance; if the number of limit-downs is getting smaller and smaller, and the decline is getting shallower, it means that the market is showing signs of improvement.And so on and so forth.

6.Today's total amount ranking

This is also an indicator used to assist in judging the trend of the broader market, but it reflects the flow of large funds.Through this indicator, traders can know which stocks have the largest trading funds on the day, and they also represent individual sectors.If the transaction amount is huge and individual stocks show an upward trend, it means that incremental funds have entered the stock, and the sector will often perform well; if the transaction amount is huge and individual stocks show a downward trend, it means that a large amount of funds have withdrawn from the stock. The same signs tend to show up in the sector at the same time.If most of the stocks with large turnover in this indicator are displayed in green, it means that a large amount of funds are withdrawing from some stocks and sectors, and these stocks with large turnover are often index stocks, so it is difficult for the market to perform well on that day.

Tip 32 Short-term market-watching skills

1. Multiple strands in the same row
This is the most basic way to look at the short-term market. It can display all the stocks with the highest gains in the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets one by one on the K-line chart or in the form of a time-sharing chart.Especially when displaying the time-sharing chart, as long as the screen is large enough, when the daily limit is opened, when individual stocks that have been finishing at a high level start to break through, etc., will be clearly displayed in front of us.Even the trading volume is listed with the chart, which is more conducive to grasping the relationship between volume and price, and constantly monitoring strong varieties.When a trader double-clicks a certain stock with the mouse, he can switch to the single-screen display state of the stock; press the F5 key to switch to the candlestick chart state normally; press the ESC key to return to the window of multiple stocks in the same column.

(End of this chapter)