New Shun 1730

Although this set of "scriptures" has been distorted to the extreme, and now has a very obvious tendency.

However, Liu Yu is not a prophet, so he cannot control the development of the Dashun School of Realism.

Social existence, social consciousness; economic base, superstructure.

Reality is here.

History is also here.

The Confucian people-oriented thought is still here.

The thought of the Dashun School of Realism evolved from these things is bound to be distorted.

But Liu Yu doesn't care.

Since I believe that this is a fantasy and cannot be realized.

Then, in the continuous struggle in the future, it will naturally be shattered, history will develop in twists and turns, and the vast majority of people will promote social changes in struggles of different intensities.

The Dashun Dynasty will die.

These fantasy of the real school will also die.

It is even possible that before these all die violently, Liu Yu's so-called "the most cunning, insightful and skillful feudal rulers" will stand up and control the situation, and do an enhanced version of Na Sanyi or Beihui.

However, it doesn't matter.

Dashun's situation is very special. Liu Yu's reforms over the years have ensured that when Dashun undergoes drastic internal changes, there will be no external interference, and it can even be said that the entire world is powerless to interfere.

At most, they will retreat to Malacca. It is unlikely that they will be pushed to their doorsteps or even land at Dagukou.

This means that even if Beihui's tactics work for a while, they will eventually be overthrown.

Similarly, the enhanced version of Nasan... it should be said that this is the most likely.

Mainly refers to industrial development and industrial coup.

Historically, Nasan, as a believer of Saint-Simon, relied on Saint-Simon's two principles after he came to power and established the giant "French Credit and Industry Bank".

This has led to the rapid development of France's financial industry under state intervention, far exceeding the development of France's industry.

External expansion, being beaten in Sedan.

External market, Britain has the first-mover advantage.

Internal market, France is too small, with a small peasant economy, and lacks places like the Ruhr area.

Europe is in the development period again, and France cannot squeeze into any of the markets of those big countries.

There is no investment for domestic investment.

Saint-Simon's idea is good: to establish a giant industrial and commercial credit bank as the "hand" of industrial policy, so that money can flow to industry.

But the result...

The result is well known.

It's funny.

The financial industry of the French Industrial and Commercial Credit Bank, which was triggered by industrialism, has developed greatly, but in the end, France is not famous for industry.

Instead, it has a special term - usury imperialism.

This is too far away from industry.

This is not a deviation, but a complete opposite.

Dashun does not have to worry about this.

First, the market is huge.

Whether it is external.

Or internal.

If you want to be a usurer imperialism, there is no chance. Dashun's industrial potential is very huge.

Second, Dashun has many places to spend money.

Infrastructure, roads, canals, water conservancy.

Textiles, mining, coal and iron.

Colonial investment.

It is not like France, where there is no place to invest money and it can only lend it out.

Moreover, from now on, Dashun’s tendency to develop towards the idea of ​​three industries is very obvious.

This is obvious in two aspects.

One is the traditional thinking of "suppressing mergers and acquisitions".

The other is "currency reform".

Here, the traditional thinking of "suppressing mergers and acquisitions" and the practical policy of "currency reform" complement each other.

The "banking industry" trend in Saint-Simonism depends on the core.

What is the core?

The core is that after the French Reform and the distribution of land, money did not flow to industry, but to places where it should not flow.

The development of industry cannot raise money.

In France, it is impossible to "suppress mergers and acquisitions" administratively.

At that time, the new era in Europe was developing rapidly, and the good example of the Bank of England was there, so naturally people thought of "banks".

However, the core of "banks" is still to act as a hand to regulate industries and let capital flow to the direction of industry.

Well, since the core is a "hand".

On the Dashun side, the emperor's traditional concern about "accelerated mergers brought about by the development of industry and commerce" and the idea of ​​controlling the flow of people and money from the developed areas to the inland to buy land through the means of household registration are also a hand.

Even including Liu Yu's previous reforms in Songsu, there are many restrictions, trying to limit or induce money to flow to industry and commerce, foreign colonization, and shipping.

This core itself is not a problem.

Even if it is said that the emperor's starting point is the traditional "suppressing mergers" thinking; while Liu Yu's starting point is to strengthen the productive attributes of cultivated land and reduce the financial investment attributes of cultivated land.

But at least in terms of controlling where the money flows or inducing where the money flows, they are also temporary fellow travelers.

This is one foundation.

The other is the currency reform that Dashun is about to implement.

Based on the manic foreign trade surplus and the mining of Fusang gold and silver mines, the silver standard or gold and silver bimetallic standard reform of comprehensive copper coin subsidiary currency.

Once this reform is completed, in theory, the Dashun court will have a very large financial institution.

Moreover, according to the idea of ​​industrial development.

This financial institution controlled by the Dashun court should theoretically invest in the development of industry and commerce, so as to achieve the effect of rapid industrial development, real industry and infrastructure as envisioned by Saint-Simonism.

The idea is good.

But what about the reality?

Was Wang Anshi's Qingmiao Law intended to support small farmers? Or was it for the country to get interest?

The purpose of the lending system in "Zhou Li" was to support the development of handicraftsmen, citizens and farmers?

Or was it to earn interest?

The feudal dynasty is a feudal dynasty after all.

The Qingmiao Law has long died in the land of Dashun.

But in the Kingdom of Korea, it actually still exists, just under a new name, called "returning rice system".

What will the feudal dynasty end up with if it does this?

Lao Ma has made it very clear in his article "Commenting on the French Movable Credit Company", which evaluates the policy of Napoleon III, who was "disguised as Saint-Simon's Society".

Doing this, no matter whether it is the Qingmiao Law and the returning rice system with good starting points.

The final result will become a tool for making money for the imperial court and speculation.

However, in an agricultural society, agriculture is the largest industry after all, so the Qingmiao Law can only be used.

In an industrial society, especially in the new era with the beautiful idea of ​​"developing real industries", it is easy to imagine where this tool for making money for the imperial court and speculation will go.

For a financial institution such as "Kuyin" controlled by a feudal dynasty, it will naturally choose the operation mode of "increasing its own business and reducing its own risks".

And how to operate, Lao Ma also said it very clearly.

[Use privileges, as well as a large amount of capital and loans supported by the court. As a result, as soon as the stock of each new enterprise it established is issued, it will definitely earn a discount in the market. ]

[... In short, obtaining discounts is the real core of the operation of this financial industry (tool for making money for the imperial court and speculation)]

As for whether the feudal dynasty will play this way, it is also obvious.

After all, the court needs money to operate.

For a feudal dynasty, would it be the goal of unwavering industrialization and national prosperity?

Obviously not.

So, when seeing the huge benefits... the "returning rice system" that still exists in Korea, which was originally intended to help small farmers but has become a tool for making money, still exists today, and after Dashun expanded trade with Korea and strangled the private trade between Japan and Korea, it became a very important source of income for the court of Korea - the usury issued by the court was exchanged for Dashun's silver and other commodities to maintain operations.

So, it is conceivable what this set of things will end up like.

Old Ma said this set of things very clearly.

[(Theoretically), if the institution can exchange all the stocks of industrial companies for its own bonds, then it will indeed become the supreme commander and owner of the entire French industry (that is, the big bank under the Saint-Simonian conception, as the baton of industry)]

But in fact, [on the way to achieve this goal, the bankruptcy that followed due to the above economic conditions...]

It seems that the founder ignored this matter.

But, in fact, [they did not ignore it, on the contrary, they had already considered it. When bankruptcy occurred, after the interests of many French people were implicated, the Bonaparte government seemed to have reason to interfere in the affairs of the movable credit company...]

[(After involving more people, through justified interference), the emperor attempted to exchange the bonds of the movable credit company for national bonds to control French industry (thereby achieving the state's complete control of industry without drastic social revolution and ownership changes, which is also a kind of "variant redemption" reform plan)]

But the problem is.

[Is the emperor more solvent than the movable credit company? ]

For Dashun, industrial bankruptcy and so on are all normal things. How can there be only profit and no loss?

But you, the emperor, are going to play like this. If you fail in the future, you will definitely not pay the money and you can't afford it. At that time, what can you rely on to default on your debts?

Isn't this going back to the same path?

Don't want to pay the debt, want to default on it. Then see if your creditor dies or the debtor dies.

Can the emperor default on his debts? Yes, they often denied it before, and the salt merchants were very fragile.

However, in the new era, if we want to improve it... even if we use it as a tool for the emperor to make money, under the current conditions of Dashun, we can still promote the rapid development of Dashun's industry.

If the industry develops rapidly, then they will not be fragile salt merchants. At that time, if they want to deny their debts... it will be difficult to deny.