New Shun 1730

Otherwise, the traditions of our ancestors will haunt people today like a nightmare?

What France did later was essentially similar to the Mississippi bubble created by John Law.

All by absorbing funds from the "middle class" and investing them in places that "should be invested".

However, in the era of John Law, there was no gold in Mississippi. Indian companies, African companies, and American companies could not absorb so much gold and silver in total. The world economic plate was only so big. If there is no place to really invest in industry, then in the end we can only step on the left foot and the right foot to reach the sky.

Beat the drum and pass the flowers, and when you can't play any more, run away.

In the Nazi era, the dawn of the industrial age has emerged, and France needs to invest in many places. By concentrating national wealth, even though it failed in the end, it even completed usury imperialism.

But during that period, French industry grew explosively.

That is to say, although it was a left-footed and right-footed approach at the beginning - the dividend return was over 40% - but the industrial age has come, and it won't be like John Law's time, with no place to invest, and It is catching up with an era in which "more wealth has been created in one century than in all previous eras."

Railways, ships, city lighting, mines, public transportation, and newspapers finally received funds, allowing France's industrial power to increase rapidly in a short period of time. It is not wrong to call it taking off.

Even relying on this round of operations, they defeated the alliance of Meyer Rothschild and Tarabot, and blocked the possibility of financiers taking advantage of the large amount of hot money during the North American Gold Rush and the Australian Gold Rush to completely control French politics.

As Nazarene's right-hand man, Duke Pesini admitted unabashedly: I wanted an instrument to liberate the Second Empire from the control that financiers usually held over the government... There is no doubt that without this (draped in The imperial policy would have to compromise with the big financiers.

It's just that France's plate is only so big, and the Franco-Prussian War was fought like a bird again. In the end, it was decided that the game collapsed.

Because the situation in France is similar to Dashun.

Money doesn’t want to go to industry because the rate of return is too low.

Money wants to go to places like speculation, reselling, hoarding, buying land, etc.

And if you go to these places, you have to offer a higher rate of return to attract "capital" to invest in this large industrial bank.

Only when you have money can you do things.

Only when money reaches big banks can industries such as mining, industry, railways, urban transportation, and municipal construction get the funds needed for development.

In fact, the effect is also significant.

The length of French railways increased sharply from 3,500 kilometers to 20,000 kilometers; the number of steam engine factories in France increased fourfold; France's annual industrial growth rate was 2.5 times that of the United Kingdom at that time, and its industrial output increased by 73% in a few years; its agricultural population It dropped rapidly from 62% to 54%; 1855 became the last major famine in France's recorded history. Since then, there has been no famine in France.

However, problems are also buried in this rapid growth.

First of all, French plates are only so big. Insufficient population, lack of coal and iron concentration, insufficient overseas markets, and what to do after rapid growth?

Secondly, it’s the same problem as Dashun. You have to give a high enough "return rate", which is basically the same as speculation, land purchase, hoarding, etc., then the money can be invested in this big bank, and then this big bank can invest the money in industry - gold In the Silver Age, money was not printed.

And what should we do with such a high rate of return?

Yes, we can only follow the method that Lao Ma sarcastically said: fast in and fast out, earn discounts; use the franchise to invest in industrial and mining industries, and then sell these industrial and mining stocks that are bound to be promoted...

But this is obviously unsustainable.

Therefore, relying on a similar set of operations, the dividend in 1954 was 12%, in 1955 it was said to be 40%, but it may not be that high; in 1956 it was also 22%...

Lao Ma said that this system is unsustainable and will explode sooner or later.

And Lao Ma also said, what will happen if this set explodes? Then, there is only one way to go - follow the example of Britain in 1797, directly declare that it will not honor its bonds, and freeze the gold standard until 1821. Why the freeze on the gold standard lasted until 1821, because Napoleon died that year.

Precious metal redemptions are frozen, and direct bonds are not redeemable.

Can this set be played?

able.

On what?

National strength, confidence, prestige, victory in foreign wars, and dividends of the times coincided with a new round of industrial revolution.

In Britain in 1797, the game was successful - in later generations, there was actually someone who was also successful.

Because I won the battle.

It also happened to coincide with the outbreak of an industrial revolution.

Lao Ma said that sooner or later France would have to play this trick and learn from England in 1797.

But the problem is that in 1797 England finally defeated France and threw Napoleon on the island. At the same time, it also caught up with the first industrial revolution.

As for France, it was the Franco-Prussian War that made it completely impossible for France to play this game. In the end, this road was interrupted, and it could only play the usurious imperialism - as a long-established colonial country, France had money; paying Prussia 1.2 billion taels of silver was a small problem, and it had accumulated for hundreds of years, and it could still take out 1.2 billion taels of silver; even if it was taken out, there would still be money, but the industry could not develop, and capital did not want to invest money in industry at all. In fact, there were not many places to invest, so there was no choice but to act as a usurious imperialism and lend the money out.

Of course, the current Dashun, including some of Liu Yu's previous reforms, is still easy to see the general shadow of this set of things.

To put it simply, the Fusang immigration thing is essentially in this form.

By absorbing funds, promising high returns, taking advantage of the industrial revolution and the American gold mines, and letting capital go to where Liu Yu wants it to go when the high returns can be realized.

There is a whip in it.

There is also a carrot on a stick.

So, will everything he does now become the "nightmare-like lingering tradition of ancestors" for the future practical school and reform school? For the future, can it be regarded as creating a certain condition inherited from the past for the future?

It should be said that it is.

Here, we should pay attention to the difference between the Prussian model, the British model, and this French model. And the difference between the small peasant land ownership, the Junker transformation, and the completed enclosure movement behind it.

Dashun was unable to achieve equal distribution of land and nationalization of land.

Under the premise of small farmers, the sale of cultivated land, and the recognition of land deeds, as well as Liu Yu's previous reform ideas, I am afraid that this "Saint-Simon industry" trend of thought will take root in Dashun.

At the same time, we should also pay attention to the development of this industry. Will the imperial power, landlords, nobles, and bureaucrats oppose it? Will they support it?

I can only say that Lao Ma said that if we continue to develop industry with a shareholding system, we will create "industrial feudalism" as Fourier said.

As for industrial feudalism, the imperial power, the nobles, and the bureaucrats may not necessarily oppose it.

As for how to achieve industrial feudalism, this does not require theoretical guidance from the reverse practice. It will basically succeed if it is done spontaneously.

Is this a good thing?

It should be said that it is a "good thing."

Lao Ma said: [(Industrial feudalism) accelerates the accumulation of capital, and its inevitable result is that the bankruptcy of the petty bourgeoisie is also accelerated. (Industrial feudal group) Their power is inversely proportional to their responsibility, because they are only responsible for the stocks they hold, but they control the entire capital of the company. They form a relatively fixed group, while most shareholders are constantly changing, forming an oligarchic board of directors]

[Under the oligarchy, there is a bureaucratic group composed of company managers and agents who are engaged in actual work. They directly manage a large number of ordinary hired workers who are increasing in number. As the amount of capital that employs workers increases, the degree of dependence and helplessness of workers also deepens accordingly, but as the number of people representing this capital decreases, they become more and more dangerous]

This model is naturally acceptable to the feudal ruling group of Dashun.

It was nothing more than collecting land rent in the past.

Now, collecting industrial "rent".

The result is that the petty bourgeoisie will be bankrupted step by step, the number of capital holders will be reduced, and eventually industrial feudalism will be achieved. The number of workers that can be hired will also increase, and the petty bourgeoisie will gradually become hired workers, and the risk of a big explosion will become higher and higher.

It is said to be a "good thing" because of this danger.

At the same time, for Dashun at this time, we are not afraid that Dashun will engage in industrial feudalism, but we are afraid that Dashun will not engage in industry at all. Industrial feudalism is also industry; if we do not engage in industry, there will not even be industrial feudalism, only agricultural feudalism.

This is back to the question of "tossing" or "not tossing" mentioned by Liu Yu.

That is, we are not afraid that Dashun will toss, but we are afraid that Dashun will not toss.

There are ways to play without tossing.

The so-called not tossing means that the dynasty generally lasts for 250 years anyway, so how can there be a thousand years?

We can get by one day at a time, so why bother?

The success of the salt industry reform proves that this set of gameplay can achieve the idea of ​​"Salt and Iron Theory" under the condition of improved productivity.

Then, develop technology to make blast furnace iron and steam blast, increase production to enough to squeeze out all private iron smelters, and ensure the use of farm tools, weapons, pots and pans.

Like the salt industry reform, taxation on the production side is also carried out to increase the tax source.

For the rest, don't bother, ensure that the court has money in hand, and keep the rest basically unchanged, then run up, and try to make the 250-year national destiny last 300 years, or 350 years.

This is a gameplay without tossing under technological development.

Through Liu Yu's salt industry reform, this gameplay without tossing has also had a clear direction-that is, through the cost advantage caused by the development of productivity, solve the problem of private salt industry that has been difficult to solve since the Tang and Ming dynasties.

The gameplay of the Ming Dynasty is to build huge salt boiling pots and control the production side as much as possible by controlling fuel and the Baojia system. This is a solution to the problem of insufficient productivity through the use of ruling techniques.

Liu Yu's method was to use capital-intensive and labor-intensive steam brine extraction and sun-dried salt production methods, relying on costs to directly crush small producers who were still using reed sticks to boil salt, directly forming a monopoly on the production side, abolishing those complex ruling techniques with the advancement of productivity, and breaking those subtle techniques with a force of ten thousand pounds.

Then, of course, the iron smelting industry can also be played in this way. There are also other industries such as this.

In short, it is to return to the path of salt and iron monopoly and stable small peasant economy, not to move forward, and do whatever you want, and mix 300 years of national life.

The problem is that with the immigration of Fusang, the "scriptures" that can accommodate enough population in industry and commerce have completed theoretical calculations, and the "tribute" of saltpeter fertilizer has been sent to the Xiyuan Emperor to plow the fields.

This made the emperor think that there is still a hundred years of national life if there is no tossing; if there is tossing, it may be able to prosper the Zhou Dynasty for 800 years and the Han Dynasty for 400 years.

Liu Yu is the right medicine.

You have to understand what the emperor is afraid of and what he is worried about, what kind of technology will make the emperor's eyes light up instead of making him think it is a gimmick, what kind of policies seem to be beneficial to the dynasty rather than being beneficial to China, the nation, or the people - even if there may be overlap sometimes, and policies that seem to be beneficial to the dynasty are also beneficial to the people, but if you are really foolish to think that the emperor of your own race will uphold the heart of serving the people and talk about the benefits of the people and the future of the nation, and the emperor will jump up and down to reform, then you are purely mentally ill. You have never been hit by the iron fist of feudal imperial power, and you really think that the emperor is the father of all people and will definitely take good care of his children, but you don't know that you will actually die early.