Xinshun 1730

Chapter 628 Sensibility and reason don't want to be hostile
With the four inferences, the answer is ready to come out.

Elizabeth subconsciously shouted: "Holland!"

Hannibal subconsciously muttered in Chinese: "Nanyang?"

Bestuev's reasoning sounds plausible, especially in this day and age.

Because in Europe in this era, soldiers in many countries are like slaves of the monarch, and they can be rented out for money to make money.

It's like when the war of Austrian succession reached the later stage, the former Polish king elector and Saxon elector rented out his soldiers to make money.A soldier paid 15 taels of silver, which directly increased the income of the personal family by 50 taels.

And now that flintlock guns have become popular, a farmer can become a soldier if he is caught and trained in a barracks for three to five months.

As long as you have money, you can fight.Moreover, all countries can find mercenaries, and even the established field troops of various countries can also become mercenaries.

Some countries are not afraid to spend money, but they are afraid that there is no place to spend money.

As for Russia, except for a few short decades, the rest of the time, all the time, at this time, and in the future will face a problem, that is, lack of money.

poor.

Bestuyev can think this way, besides he can get inside information from Hannibal about Liu Yu thinking about the coup more than ten years ago, get first-hand information about Dashun’s foreign wars, and he has been with him all the time. It is related to the diplomatic way of thinking since then.

Historically, Bestuyev has been trying to conclude a "subsidy treaty" with Britain.

Britain provides Russia with 30 taels of silver every year for at least five years.

Russia, on the other hand, has trained at least an army of 5 people to provide help to Britain when it needs it.

If Russia can send troops to Hanover to protect the king's land of Longxing, Britain can pay an extra 120 million taels of silver per year.

If Britain and Russia reach an alliance, and Russia promises to fight against Britain's enemies, and it is impossible to negotiate a peace alone, Britain will pay another 1800 million taels of military expenses in principal and interest, which will be paid in 6 years.

This is why he is "pro-British". In order to use British money to cure Russia's poor diseases, the soldiers raised by the British money can be used to eat the surrounding land at any time.

Moreover, in terms of grand strategy, there is no great contradiction between Russia and Britain, but they can have a common enemy.

Of course, the historic subsidy treaty never came to fruition.

Because the British feel that giving the Russians money to support soldiers in peacetime is a brain problem.

Waiting for the war to start immediately, and when I wanted to sign with Russia, it was too late.

However, Bestuyev's thinking mode has long existed.

So he immediately thought of this situation, and immediately thought of another rich country that might have conflicts with Dashun.

Netherlands.

Bestuyev was a minister in the Netherlands. When he was in the Netherlands, the Netherlands was not as bad as it is now, and it was still very rich.

The Netherlands has always liked to scatter coins, and many problems can be solved with scatter coins, especially when it is beyond the reach.

After finishing his inference, Bestuyev said: "The situation in China is very different from that in Europe. Once attacked, it is very likely that there will be a full-scale retaliation. In fact, even if my guess is true , it is impossible for us to accept this money and start a war with China. The gain outweighs the loss.”

"That's why he hopes that a more rational monarch will become the tsar. Because only irrational people, people who don't consider Russia's interests, can make actions that go against rational reasoning, such as going to war against China."

"This is also in line with what he told Lieutenant General Hannibal. He wanted the Tsar of Russia to be a rational man who put Russia's interests first."

"Perhaps it was Lieutenant General Hannibal's introduction to His Majesty, and perhaps some information he collected, which led him to infer that His Majesty is a rational and perfect monarch who considers the interests of Russia. Therefore, he participated in this event with all his strength. A coup?"

Elizabeth solemnly said: "Of course I will inherit my father's will and put Russia's interests first."

Having said that, I also have my own considerations in my heart.

As for now, Elizabeth believes that Russia only needs to continue fighting against Sweden and wait for countries to offer Russia a price.As a force that can control the balance, only when both parties are exhausted can the highest price be sold.

She directly named Bestuyev as the Prime Minister of the Privy Council, just to allow Russia to use the reason that the Russo-Swiss War has not yet ended, leaving a door of convenience for both sides.

On the French side, there are the Marquis of La Chettadi and the Earl of Lestoke, both the French ambassador and the French nobles who followed her in the coup d'état and contributed to the support of the dragon.

On the British side, there was Bestuev, who had been a close minister of King George II of Hanover for several years when he was studying abroad and had almost written his pro-British face on his face.

The two sides are fighting each other, and she, the tsar, can balance in the middle, which can prevent the pro-French faction from completely controlling the court, and can also ensure that it will not slide too much towards the United Kingdom.

Russian-French alliance?

Russian-British alliance?

You must choose one of the two, because only by reaching into Europe can you be eligible to share the spoils and become a big country that is not underestimated and can be recognized.

If you don't reach out, you have no bargaining chips.

Only by reaching out your hand can you create chips out of nothing.

As for who to choose, this is not the time to bet.Moreover, Russia now has an almost perfect reason to procrastinate, that is, "It's not that I don't want to participate in the wars in Central and Western Europe, I am very interested. But the top priority is to solve Sweden first."

The current situation in China and Europe is still very unclear.

News has just come from the front that the French army has captured Prague and is in full swing.

The Franco-Prussian Union really has no opponents in Europe at this time. The French Army is traditionally capable of fighting, Prussia is also particularly capable of fighting unexpectedly, and Bavaria is not bad.

Austria persisted again, not cutting Silesia, but felt that if it persisted, Vienna would soon be defeated.

Although neither Elizabeth nor Bestuyev had a good impression of Prussia, they were extremely vigilant.

Although Bestuyev has identified France as the ultimate enemy of Russia's hegemony.

But in the current situation, standing in line and anti-French-Prussian alliance, that is to replace rationality with sensibility, purely brain problems.

If Austria is dismembered, of course Russia can immediately sign an alliance with France and take a bite together.Instead of stupidly fighting against the whole of Europe, go to fight the Franco-Prussian League that has dismembered Austria.

But as long as Austria is still breathing and the situation is not completely clear, don't easily damage the relationship with Austria.

After all, the two have to deal with Ottoman Turkey together, and both sides in the Balkans also have common interests.In addition, Turkey is still some distance away from the so-called "sick man of West Asia". It just smashed Austria, and it still looks very scary, so it can not turn against Austria without falling out.

Moreover, absolute rationality is a requirement for the "Philosopher King".But it is impossible for any human being to be absolutely rational.

Elizabeth actually hated Britain and Austria very much in her heart, because the forces of these two countries firmly opposed Elizabeth's supremacy in the previous chaotic political situation in Russia.

The reason for the opposition is also based on the fact that Elizabeth is the successor of Peter the Great's policy, or a representative of the new Russian party.

An absolutely rational monarch may put an end to the influence of the previous succession to the palace after ascending to the throne.

But this is not something everyone can do, and it is also understandable if it is Dashun: A certain prince was involved in a battle for the throne, and some ministers opposed the prince. How much can Li Shimin treat Wei Zheng like that?

However, when it comes to dealing with Dashun, whether it is emotional or rational, Elizabeth is inclined to sign a non-aggression treaty with Dashun immediately.

Emotionally, Liu Yu was indeed "sending charcoal in the snow", and almost single-handedly sent her to the throne of the tsar.

Although in fact there is no Liu Yu, and it is not difficult for her to make a coup, but no one has a front and back view. This method of turning the icing on the cake into a helping hand is exactly what Liu Yu is very good at.

Rationally, there is no benefit in going to war with Dashun.

For those barren lands, the furs were the most valuable to Russia at that time; while for Dashun, the most valuable were the cultivated land and the northwest frontier.

There is no irreconcilable contradiction between the two countries.

The places suitable for farming do not produce sables, and the places that produce otters are not very suitable for farming; Junggar believes in the yellow religion, and the Lama class is very disgusted with Orthodox Russia; what Dashun wants is a stable northwest frontier to prevent another Wala.

As for Bestuyev's conjecture, even if the conjecture is true, Elizabeth does not think that this matter has anything to do with Russia.

This is not the same as taking money from the British to fight the war. Taking money from the British can occupy the surrounding land by the way.

If it is true that the people from the Netherlands are taken to fight Dashun, it will be of no benefit at all.

Europe has European rules, such as hiring mercenaries from other countries, or even hiring organized field troops from other countries, which is not considered a declaration of war.

There are also treaty checks and balances between countries, because no one can break the treaty, and there are hidden diplomatic rules between each other.

But these unspoken rules, Dashun does not recognize.

Even if Russia said that those Cossacks were hired by the Dutch, they just started from Russia.If this were in Europe, it wouldn't be Russia declaring war on Dashun.But for Dashun, which doesn't talk about European standards at all, but has its own set of standards, this sentence is no different from nonsense, and it will definitely retaliate by any means.

Once Dashun chooses unscrupulous retaliation, Russia will feel very uncomfortable.

In Dashun's hand, he still holds a disease that Russia is extremely worried about-the Turghut Ministry on the Volga River.

Of course, Dashun didn't like the Turghute tribe. In history, the Turghute tribe returned to the east, and it was originally planned to take advantage of the collapse of the Junggar to come back and grab the territory.

However, if a war broke out between China and Russia, according to Liu Yu's diplomatic methods, he would probably give the Torghut Ministry great support, giving money, guns, and instructors, but Russia couldn't stand it.

Elizabeth glanced at Hannibal and Bestuyev, and said firmly: "For the benefit of Russia, I will never consider going to war with Dashun. No matter what conditions this hypothetical third party offers. We have no way to attack to their hinterland, but there is still a group of Mongols on the banks of the Volga River, and Dashun’s rule is more attractive than our requirement of compulsory military service.”

(End of this chapter)